Libya Kidnap Shows Oil-Supply Growth at Risk From Insecurity

TRIPOLI (Capital Markets in Africa) – Just as Libya resumes oil exports from recently shuttered ports, an attack on its largest field is setting back progress yet again.

An incursion by gunmen into the Sharara field Saturday and the kidnapping of workers there forced the National Oil Corp. to cut output and ban exports. It’s the latest in a string of security incidents that have hobbled Libyan shipments despite repeated attempts to restore flows in the politically divided nation.

“This incident required us to shut down and evacuate a number of stations,” NOC Chairman Mustafa Sanalla said in a statement. The kidnappers released two of the four abducted workers later the same day but still hold two others.

The persistent assaults on the OPEC state’s oil facilities show that any efforts to revive production remain hindered by the same security issues that have long plagued the industry. Following a recent blockade of eastern ports, authorities were able to restart shipments on July 11 — and resume production at the western El-Feel field the following day — only to see Sharara come under attack days later.

“This is just going to be the way it is for Libya until something very significant changes,” said Derek Brower, managing director of research at U.K.-based Petroleum Policy Intelligence. “One problem will erupt, and then the next. Solving one will sometimes cause the next, and so on.”

Es Sider
Libya’s biggest oil port, Es Sider, is set to ship its first cargo since reopening last week, when a tanker begins loading 890,000 barrels of crude later Wednesday, according to a person familiar with the matter who asked not to be identified discussing private information.

The stops and starts mean total production in Libya — which holds Africa’s largest oil reserves — is currently at about 650,000 to 700,000 barrels a day, another person familiar said Tuesday. That compares with 1.3 million a day in February.

“In the absence of any big political movements that bring peace and cooperation — and none is visible on the horizon right now — the market will just have to price in this kind of volatility from Libyan supply,” Brower said.

Sharara has endured sporadic shutdowns and disruptions as a result of armed attacks, protests and power blackouts. The giant field, run by the NOC and international partners, resumed production in December 2016 after a two-year pipeline blockade and has been crucial to the nation’s oil recovery after total output dwindled to 45,000 barrels a day in 2011.

Sharara sends its crude to the western Zawiya terminal, where the NOC has declared force majeure. The port had been set to ship 6.93 million barrels this month, according to a loading plan obtained by Bloomberg.

Source: Bloomberg Business News